Food Security Modelling

Научная статья. Biosciences Biotechnology Research Asia, Vol. 12 (Spl. Edn. 2), 2015. pp. 773-781Abstract. A focus of the paper is a problem of "observability" regarding food security. Known scientific approaches to identification of a similar condition have not provided us with a grounded solution to refer to actual borders of security (or standards of mutual penetration). Their absence makes methodological capacities of modelling essentially disturbed. It is levelling of these contradictions that is an aim of this research. The authors put forward and give a scientific rationale for a hypothesis for fragmentary food security, an essence of which is come down to a research on certain agricultural commodity groups. In a critical review, features of security are specified. A theoretical development of authors’ provisions have resulted in formalization of a number of models built in terms of the dependence factor or inherent openness of the food system. These and other features have made it possible to offer a distinctive technique for an analytical interpretation of findings, including an assessment of risk for lost security condition in a food aspect of the issue.
Key words: food security, agriculture, security modelling.Content:
Introduction
Literature review
Fundamental nature of food security
Models and concepts
Methods and solutions
Model of fragmentary food security
Derivative analytical indicators for the model
Riskiness assessment of going beyond a state of security
Model of interdependent fragmentary food security
Discussion
Conclusion